Hey fellow human.
I am currently sitting on couch sipping my favourite black coffee with a pinch of stevia & a spoon of butter, bullet coffee it is, avoiding my work emails which i supposed to respond, and watching the COVID contamination/death count meter in safari, the fall out of current Israel, Iran & whole middle east pointing finger at each other heat shadow games, and of course how can I not mention Elon Musk’s tweets.
I’m just thinking: this whole thing is going to totally blow up in like, five years. I mean COVID will be a history in 2 years, but whatever we call middle east will go bonkers.
Let’s give it 5-6 years to cook properly.
Imagine it’s almost 2026, and the mild cold war just went blazing hot.

Who wins this messy flash-forward?
Honestly?
Solar panel salespeople.
USA & Canada have oil. India & China will buy their oil from Russia as usual, as if nothing happened.
But for rest of the world, shit is gonna hit the fan.
If oil supply lines get tangled in the crossfire, the EU is going to panic-buy every wind turbine & solar panel on earth.
The real winners will be whichever countries the EU suddenly decides are it’s new “green energy besties” to escape the fossil fuel trap.

Who loses?
Traditional oil cartels, anyone who enjoys cheap gas, and my baseline funny inexistent anxiety levels.
Of course EU & GCC countries will suffer the most (in case there’s a war like scenario).

The long-term outcome?
A complete rewrite of global alliances.
Europe will basically rage-quit fossil fuels out of pure spite, accelerating the green energy transition by a decade just to avoid the Middle Eastern geopolitical headache.
Any war starts in such era near middle east or eastern Europe will be majorly pushed by USA to cut off cheap energy supply from East to Europe, then USA will sell 3X priced petrolium & LPG to Europe, which will destroy the European industries (whatever little still left).
No matter what happens, Karma will play it’s card & slowly but surely we will see the weakest USA before this decade ends where the “U” of USA will be on shaky grounds.

Anyway, just a mellow bezzling spring thought experiment!
Don’t take it seriously. I like it when i am proved wrong.

Tap..✌🏻